Wednesday, February 15, 2006
2006 Mock Draft
Round One Selections
1. Houston
1a. Trades down for additional picks
1b. Reggie Bush, RB, USC
1c. Will do one or the other above - or get crucified.
Synopsis: When I began putting this together at the end of the regular season, my initial hunch was that Houston would trade down the #1 pick for additional picks. Then came the announcement on January 8th/9th that they definitely wanted Bush. I was thinking, maybe this is a bluff. But it's certainly hard to pass up a chance to pick another "Gale Sayers", no? If it weren't for the $21 million contract to Domanick this would be a no brainer and the pick is Bush. They could still select Reggie for trade purposes, but I don't look for this Bush in Texas in 2006. There are just too many good, solid players in the draft this year NOT to trade down and fill NEEDS, not WISHES.
Maybe the cap-friendly Titans and Texans switch positions, and the Texans pick up an extra late round pick AND still get a quality player at the #3 spot? Plus, Houston can start addressing the other areas of their team by selecting from a robust draft, which happens to include a boatload of talented underclassmen who have decided to forego another collegiate football season. The Jets, Saints, Dolphins, Cardinals and Ravens (maybe ALL teams) have a vested interest in making a play for the #1 pick. Or, as I stated earlier, this "We want Bush" prounouncement is only a diversion.
Whatever takes place, this will be the most important organizational decision for the new staff. It may even be a referendum on the GM if this pick doesn't pan out positively. I believe Houston will deal the #1 pick for chances at a number of other selections later in the draft, including some O-lineman and a defensive end. For example, ORT Zach Wiegart is in his 11th year, and on their depth chart, there is NO ONE listed!! Therefore, look at the Texans using a potential trade down pick to shore up the right side of their offensive line with Jon Scott of Texas. Likewise, the Left Defensive End for Houston, Gary Walker, is also an elder statesman. Even though he has backup, there's always a diamond in the rough in these drafts. The other pick might be utilized on a new field goal kicker.
The Texan team has money and needs an offensive line to help protect David Carr, who was sacked about 11,000 times. They also need some receivers to help give Carr more options. If they pass on Bush and don't trade down ( suicide IMHO) Bradford is an 8 year veteran who can still play, but Gaffney,Armstrong and Mathis don't strike fear in the hearts of the opposing secondary. Maybe some could make the argument that Reggie Bush can return the punts instead of Mathis, be that extra option for Carr and take the pressure off of Davis. A big decision awaits. Note: Texans have drafted pretty much 50-50 in their drafts, with 16 of 35 picks going to the defense since 2002.
2. New Orleans
1a. Matt Leinert, QB, USC
1b. Vince Young, QB, Texas
1c. Reggie Bush, RB, USC
Synopsis: Time is up for Aaron Brooks. The Saints can use a strong arm and strong leader at the QB position. With depth at WR position, they need an efficient, consistent passer to get them the ball. The main trouble with this is the time needed for developing a rookie QB. Are the Saints willing to wait that long? Who is going to start if the rookie can't go? Bouman or McPherson? If Cutler gets the nod, it might be due to the fact he played so well at Vanderbilt with no real talent and has not tapped his full potential. Leinert still may get tapped, especially considering Tom Benson's desire to move out west where Leinert may feel more at home. Cutler has a chance, but it will most likely be Leinert.
3. Tennessee
1a. Vince Young, QB, Texas or Jay Cutler, QB, Vanderbilt
1b. Mario Williams, DE, NC State
1c. DeMeco Ryans, LB, Alabama
Synopsis: Not quite certain they would take an ILB for the third pick overall, but this is definitely an area they need to address. Ryans is a big stud and an extremely good tackler. Consistency and talent in the LB corps would help on defense, as the 'backer position has been lean outside of Bulluck.. The D-line is fairly deep, but with the way injuries pile up in the NFL, there's never enough talent and Mario Williams can be a force. The Titans could also use a burner at WR for McNair. While Drew Bennett remains the workhorse (but dropped from 11 to 4 TD receptions) Tyrone Calico has almost disappeared. He had ZERO touchdown catches the past 2 seasons, and just 204 yards receiving in 2 years.
Those two WR's are big and can wreak havoc on smaller secondarys, but not if the passes aren't coming. With McNair healthy and a young rookie battling, perhaps the competition will spark a resurgence. NOTE: Young has built a strong relationship between himself and McNair and would be a strong consideration at QB, but Cutler played at Vanderbilt and could be the surprise first choice.
4. NY Jets
1a. D'Brickshaw Ferguson, OT, Virginia
1b. Haloti Ngata, DT, Oregon
1c. Laurence Maloney, RB, Minnesota or DeAngelo Williams, RB, Memphis
Synopsis: The Jets have a chance to move up with a surprise trade from Houston, but if not, they'll most likely go with the big guy on the O-line. However, there ARE two schools of thought here. Offense or Defense first? The defense was 12th overall in the NFL, including #2 vs the pass. But they were horrible against the run. On the offensive side the Jets were, well, offensive.
Next to last in total offense, but with two key injuries at the skill positions in Pennington and later Curtis Martin. So, do you add to the linebacking corps with an A.J. Hawk to compliment Vilma, or do you go up front defensively with a Mario Williams or Haloti Ngata. Perhaps go into the secondary and strengthen that area with Jimmy Williams?
No doubt they can use the additional impact of one of these defensive players,and D'Brickashaw is such a monster, but could we see the Jets go on the "offensive", with a RB like Laurence Maroney, DeAngelo Williams or LenDale White to offset the possibility of losing Curtis Martin to retirement or injury? What about QB and Jay Cutler? Might they decide to trade down for more picks in the later rounds? Lots of options....including trading down.
5. Green Bay
1a. Mario Williams, DE, NC State
1b. Broderick Bunkley, DT, FSU
1c. A.J. Hawk, OLB, Ohio State
Synopsis: Look for the announcement soon. Brett Favre will retire. But even if he returned, the Pack has more troubling issues. They struggled on defense in '05 and the fact the offense suffered so many injuries only underscored how the D couldn't make any key stops. Jim Bates could use a Reggie White type player to help with pressure on the opposing quarterback. Some say A.J. Hawk is a good choice for Green Bay, but I'd rather fo up front with this pick. Or they could add CB Jimmy Williams to battle/replace Ahmad Carroll ( move Carroll around more and use for depth) provided Williams can step right in. His size will certainly help match up against some of the taller WR's around the league. Should see a a defensive pick with Green Bay.
6. Oakland
1a. Haloti Ngata, DT, Oregon
1b. Mario Williams, DE, NC State
1c. Jimmy Williams, CB, Va Tech
Synopsis: Folks in silver & black are screaming for help for this "middle of the NFL pack" defensive squad. Ted Washington just completed his 14th season and may need to retire or become a backup. Same for DE Bobby Hamiltion at age 35. 2nd year DE Tommy Kelly is starting to get comfortable and Derrick Burgess had 16 sacks. The linebacking corps could also stand some help.
On offense the situation at QB is blurry. Tuiasasopo isn't the answer and Collins may not get another shot.! They could use some additional help at RB but not before they add to their defense. Look for Al Davis and Art Shell to concentrate on shoring up the D-line, adding depth at linebacker. It would be rather surprising for them to take an offensive player (like Jay Culter) but please Al, whatever you do, don't waste a pick on Marcus Vick !
7. San Francisco
1a. Haloti Ngata, DT, Oregon or Manny Lawson, DE, N.C. State
1b. Rodrique Wright, DT, Texas
1c. Chad Greenway, OLB, Iowa
Synopsis: They NEED to land a strong DE / DT to bolster their pass rush, but also need help in the secondary. If you look at the league statistics, SF is a tale of two defenses. They're ranked dead last in total defense, but they finished 18th versus the run. The secondary? Dead last. D-line might need to add a player or two as Bryant Young is going into his 13th year but still had 8 sacks. Believe an add at DE will help him stick around for a couple more years, but it's best to start the transition now and utilize his tutoring.
There is also a possibility that the 9ers move from their base 3-4 defense to a 4-3 and therefore might look to pick up a pass rusher with the first pick. For Mike Singletary and the LB'ers it is mostly a veteran group of no-names. Nine-year man Derek Smith (RILB) had 90 tackles and 26 assists, while 4 year man Brandon Moore had 50+ tackles and 5 sacks. Who? Exactly. Perhaps we will see Hawk or a top CB at this point, or some later round additions to the LB unit. The secondary is definitely in need of help, but might benefit from the additon of increased pressure on the passer and a solid linebacker.
However, looking at the 49ers a couple of things struck me about their offensive roster. 1) All of their receivers (except Johnnie Morton) are young and small. 6-0 or under, two rookies and two 3 year vets. I feel they need a game-changer to hlep open up the field. Brandon Lloyd and Arnez Battle have done very well, but a tall burner would make San Francisco more potent. That would also help open up the running game for Barlow and Gore. Unfortunately, it looks like getting that type of WR with the 6th pick would be a certain "reach" for any team this year. 2) The Niners have to have the youngest offensive line in the NFL.
No less than 4 rookies, a couple of 2 year guys, Kwame Harris in his 3rd year, while it is the 4th year for center Eric Heitmann. Wow. Should they gel and get better each game, that's a group of big uglies no one will want to contend with. San Fran will most likely go defense with this pick, but don't be entirely stunned if the 49ers go for an offensive athlete and pick up a receiver.
8. Buffalo
1a. Haloti Ngata, DT, Oregon / Rodrique Wright, DT, Texas
1b. Mario Williams, DE, NC State / Manny Lawson, DE, N.C. State
1c. Tamba Nali, DE, Penn State
Synopsis: The Bills defense gets immediate strength in the middle against the run. Ngata is a behemoth of a man and smart. Adept at sniffing out play action, his only potential downside is the knee injury of two years ago. Might that scare off teams until later rounds? Buffalo hopes so. This guy is definitely a instant-impact for any defense, but still not sure why the Bills gave away Pat Williams to the Vikings.
At any rate, if not Ngata, there is also Kiwanuka who will still be around, along with the outside possibility of Mario Williams or Manny Lawson. Improving the Bills offensive line and secondary are also on the priority list, but a tough D-lineman seems to be the hottest.
In later rounds the Bills could begin to address their aging secondary, unless the urge to pluck Michael Huff or Jimmy Williams proves to great a temptation. I just think it would be more beneficial to add up front with this first pick, and try to get some help in the later rounds. Besides, they need to re-sign Nate Clements, who many think may be a target of the Giants.
9. Detroit
1a. Duece Lutui, OT, USC
1b. Chad Greenway or Abdul Hodge, LB's, Iowa
1c. Jay Cutler, QB, Vanderbilt
Synopsis: I betcha dollars to doughnuts it won't be a WR drafted #1 this year in Detroit! With Martz finally on board as the offensive coordinator,, they could look to help bolster pass protection and add a better run-blocking talent to their O-line. Lutui is capable of doing both, but might the Lions be looking at another skill position player? After years of going for WR's, the O-line pick is one sure way of solidifying the offense and is a great add to the offensive line.
Though an offensive lineman going this high isn't entirely unusual, 2005 may have set the precedent. The 13th and 19th pick in first round of 2005 draft saw offensive lineman tabbed by the Saints and Rams respectively. The Cards might be the first this year. With so many areas to fill, including QB, I wouldn't be surprised at any pick in the 1st, except receiver!
10. Arizona
1a. DeAngelo Williams, RB, Memphis or LenDale White, RB, USC
1b Max Jean-Gilles, OG/OT, Georgia
1c. Jimmy Williams, CB, Virginia Tech
Synopsis: 'Zona is a hard team to figure. The Cards have a potent passing offense but lack the necessary running game. Whether it was ineffective line play ( that offensive line is big and veterans mostly at the 5-6 year mark) or less-than-expected results from the backs, this was truly the achilles heel of the 2005 season. So does Coach Green go for an additional running back, offensive lineman or add to the defense with his first pick? Or does he trade down to add more depth throughout?
With Warner re-signed it looks as if the QB slot is not an issue. RB DeAngelo Williams is tempting to a team that saw little production from their running backs. 5 year veteran Marcel Shipp was injured for a time and ended up with 451 yards total rushing and no TD's. Rookie RB J.J. Arrington's biggest rushing game was for 59 yards against the 49ers in week 13.
Big Jean-Gilles can play Tackle, but played mostly at Guard for the Bulldogs. With CB Williams, the Cards are assured of a secondary player with great size and speed (rare in the NFL). What's more, Williams played safety before but can be a powerful corner against the taller, speedier receivers. Imagine a taller, stronger DeAngelo Hall.
11. St. Louis
1a. Chad Greenway, LB, Iowa
1b. Michael Huff, S, Texas
1c. Rodrique Wright, DT, Texas / Claude Wroten, DT, LSU
Synopsis: For the Rams, no doubt they have some shoring up to do on defense. While their cornerbacks are suspect at times, they may just need another year to begin making that step to the next level. Three rookies comprised the corner unit, along with veterans Archuleta, Groce, Furrey and Ivy. Those "vets" have 5, 3, 3 and 4 years experience respectively. So that area may be, quantitatively, at adequate strength.
Qualitatively, a Michael Huff could provide an instant spark. Many judge that it will be a LB, CB or Safety pick for the Rams at this position. So a Greenway/Hawk/Hodge-type in the linebacking corps might be the pick. And there is a need for some additional help on the defensive line, specifically Tackle, so look for Wroten or another DT to possibly be there on draft day, but probably not in round one.
12. Cleveland
1a. A.J. Hawk, OLB, Ohio St. / DeMeco Ryans, OLB, Alabama
1b. Gabe Watson, DT, Michigan
1c. DeAngelo Williams, RB, Memphis
Synopsis: Romeo Crennel is making strides in Cleveland. And he's sticking up for his own people. The Browns fired President John Collins after Collins was pushing to get rid of GM Rich Savage. Owner Randy Lerner decided to go with Crennel's advice to keep Savage. Collins packed his bags. With that, the Browns now face another dilema. Which side of the ball to focus on first. My inclination is towards the defensive side because of Coach Crennel's penchant for putting together a solid D.
They might be a good nose tackle and linebacker away from turning the defense into a full-spectrum animal. But they need some help on the offensive line as well. Cleveland was the #4 defense against the pass in 2005. Against the run they were third from the bottom. So the obvious choice is to shore up the run defense, but at what cost?
The Browns may opt to trade down or go ahead and pick a potential stud at the nose, inside and outside linbacker positions. The focus on the defense may be justified and addressed, but do not be surprised if Crennel opts to go for RB Williams (if he's still there) to help an already talented and potentially high-powered offense.
13. Baltimore
1a. Michael Huff, S, Texas
1b. Winston Justice, OT, USC
1c. Marcus McNeil, OT, Auburn
Synopsis: The Raven faithful are up in arms over keeping Boller or dumping him for a new QB. Money says he'll stay one more year. If still hanging around, the Ravens might even take a shot at Jay Culter. Most think that the offensive line and defense will get most of the attention. After Jamal Lewis had a rather bleak year, the Ravens will now be forced to franchise tag him or let him walk. If he walks, they might go for DeAngelo Williams or LenDale White.
Baltimore was 21st in rushing offense, and with a young, struggling QB, that doesn't bode well for ball control and helping the maturation process of a young QB. So the Ravens taking QB Cutler or RB Williams (if they fall that far) wouldn't be a complete shock. Later rounds will see the voids filled at offensive line and defensive secondary support for Ed Reed and replacement for Deion Sanders. If not a skill position pick, look for the Ravens to go with Safety Mike Huff or to the offensive line. Hard not to take a Marcus McNeil staring you in the face at #13.
14. Philadelphia
1a .Chad Greenway, LB, Iowa / Tamba Hali, DE, Penn St.
1b. Tye Hill, CB, Clemson
1c. Santonio Holmes, WR, Ohio State
Synopsis: The Eagles have a whole bunch of messy baskets to tidy up this off-season. Maybe too many to make a difference in the coming year. Brad Childress is now in Minnesota, T.O. is a bitter memory and Donovan McNabb must overcome his injury while hoping to find new offensive weapons. Not to mention he has to reassert his leadership role in light of the Hugh Douglas comments. The Eagles were near the very bottom (28th) in rushing yardage. Don't expect that to change. The failure of the run didn't hurt them as much when they had T.O. to hit downfield. Reggie Brown is no T.O. (at least not yet) and so they need to find another WR to help McNabb extend and spread the defense.
Meantime, look for the new offensive coordinator and coach Andy Reid to institute a more balanced offensive attack. If that turns out to be the case, they may go RB with their first pick. The Eagle defense was 23rd overall in the NFL ( 21st vs run and the pass), and will have to bounce back after a tumultous season. While they still need to address the WR and RB/FB issues, they've lost many of the difference makers on defense over the past several years.
Andy Reid does need to focus on the linebacking and secondary positions, but it might come in the later rounds after trying to add a difference-maker on offense.
15. Atlanta
1a. Broderick Bunkley, DT, FSU
1b. Tamba Hali, DE, Penn St.
1c. Greg Blue, S, Georgia
Synopsis: 22nd overall in defense (26th vs the run, 14th vs the pass) The defense, so good a year before, disintegrated for the Falcons this past season. Time for Coach Mora to increase the potential of the defense and that starts with a banger. Look for a savage DE or hard-hitting LB for the first pick in Atlanta. While there is a chance the Falcons could go with local Georgia Bulldog safety Greg Blue, I would expect them to go first up front on the D-side. Otherwise, look for a LB selection. They are also in a favorable position should Mathias Kiwanuka slide down a little further than expected. Maybe the Falcons stun everyone and pick a wide receiver? Nah.
16. Miami
1a. Jay Cutler, QB, Vanderbilt
1b. Sinorice Moss, WR, Miami
1c. Broderick Bunkley, DT, FSU
Synopsis: Besides the obvious pick to acquire a potential starting QB, the Dolphins have folks who are on the edge of that retirement twilight. How much longer can Junior Seau and Sam Madison go on? So there's that question on the D-side. The offensive line is in pretty good shape with the "veteran" left side of the O-line still relatively young (McIntosh and James both 6 year vets), and from the Center position to the right, there is an average of 2 years experience.
My hunch is that they would be wasting a pick this early on to draft yet another young offensive lineman. (Unless they are trying to add depth.) So I would look for the pickup of Cutler (if available) or work to reinforce the aging defensive side of the ball. I don't think T.O. is in the Dolphin's future, so there is a need to think WR later in the draft. Marty Booker isn't much of a threat, and even though Chris Chambers continues to get better, he will fight constant double-coverage.
Whoever may be the QB will eventually need that additional threat at the wideout position. This Miami offense, should they add that threat, will now have serious weapons at every skill position. That is also why it is definitely a possibility that Nick Saban decides to stay with the QB's he has and add to other areas of his team with this first pick.
17. Minnesota
1a. Lawrence Maroney, RB, Minnesota
1b. DeAngelo Williams, RB, Memphis St.
1c. Broderick Bunkley, DT, FSU
Synopsis: Imagine the Minnesota Vikings with a constant, consistent running game to off-set their passing game. Wow. Potentially a 30-point-per-game machine. That's why I would not be at all stunned to see them take local college phenom Maroney, or the hit of the Senior Bowl ground attack, DeAngelo Williams. They may opt to add a little more depth to their defense, where they have the most of any team in the league.
They were middle of the pack in '05, 18th in total defense (19th vs Run, 22nd vs Pass, 20th vs Scoring) which isn't bad considering the rough start to the season on the offensive side of the ball. I'd be surprised with a defensive pick at #17, so look for best available running back, with follow-on picks at WR, LB and the secondary.
18. Dallas
1a. D'Qwell Jackson, LB, Maryland
1b. A.J. Hawk, LB, Ohio State
1c. Tye Hill, CB, Clemson
Synopsis: LB Dat Nyguen's retirement has added an element to the draft that Bill Parcell's wasn't counting on. I was thinking he'd be interested in trying to get someone in at the nosetackle position, or possibly bulk up along the offensive line. Then there's help needed in the secondary. While many love the speed of Tye Hill, I just think the guy is too small in this day and age. So while I'll put him down as a possibility, I'm wondering if anyone will touch him in round one. The Cowboys just brought in a relative unknows (except at Kent State and Notre Dame) in Abram Elam, a 6 foot , 205lb, 4.45 guy.
You might remember him as one of those rounded up in the alleged sexual assault of a woman at Notre Dame. He was on the ND team at the time, then sat out after his conviction. (He was convicted of inappropriately "touching" the victim - the only one to admit any wrongdoing. So it's a rather obvious statement by Jerry Jones that defense will be addressed.
With a large crop of top-notch backers in this draft, we should see Bobby Carpenter, Thomas Howard, D'Qwell Jackson or someone of that ilk with this selection. Unless Santonio Holmes or Sinorice Moss interest Parcells, look for a defensive first pick. Although a big offensive lineman isn't out of the question either. And there's always the chance that Jerry Jones pulls a surprise trade up for a shot at a marquee top 5 or top 10 talent.
19. San Diego
1a. Maurice Stovall, WR, Notre Dame
1b. Sinorice Moss, WR, Miami
1c. Safeties Michael Huff, Ko Simpson or Darnell Bing
Synopsis: San Diego has a serious problem at QB. Can Drew Brees come back strong after rehabilitation? Wait. Will Drew Brees BE in San Diego after rehabilitation? IF he is still a Bolt and is resigned, will he be able to hold off Phillip Rivers for another season? Wait. Will Rivers sit and be a backup for another season, or try and force a trade? Can he make an impact offensively like Brees?
I believe both QB's will be back (eveyrone needs two solid QB's in case of injury) and Brees is back for another year as the starter after his stellar rehab. Just like in the past two years, San Diego is explosive. But not as consistently explosive as they could be, especially at the wideout position. Scary thought, no? Imagine this team with a taller, consistent mid-to-long-range target for Brees to compliment the aging Keenan McCardell. In other words, the Chargers MUST pick Maurice Stovall.
To be certain, Maurice doesn't have lightning quick speed, but Moss and Holmes don't have the size and power that Stovall has, which will allow him to go up and get the ball. Something McCardell has been doing pretty well. Reche Caldwell is a good 3rd target, but the Bolts need that big threat at the main wideout to stretch defenses and make it less of an effort for Brees to move the team down the field. Not to mention being able to dump off to a more open LT out of the backfield. Whether this year's draft has such a receiver is questionable, especially in the first round. So I would say if it's not Stovall or Jackson (still a big reach at the #19 pick) they can be no worse than Eric Parker or Drew Haddad.
Some would argue that this pick would be better spent on more defensive depth. Randall Godfrey isn't getting any younger (or faster) and I'm not sold on Stephen Cooper as his long-term replacement. Adding Michale Huff to the safety position would give the Chargers more help in that area, as he can play safety or the corner position. However, the consistency of the offense hurt San Diego the most last year, and a deep threat may give them the additional weapon to get back to the playoffs.
20. Kansas City
1a. Claude Wroten, DT, LSU
1b. Antonio Cromartie, CB, FSU
1c. Broderick Bunkley, DT, FSU
Synopsis: Kansas City's defense was supposedly better than a year before. Well, it was 25th in total defense, 3rd from the bottom against the pass, 7th versus the run, 16th in scoring defense and 25th in forcing turnovers. So I'd say there is some room for improvement. I'd start with the secondary and the right defensive tackle slot. Either one. Being third from the bottom in passing defense means one of three things: 1) your secondary is weak; 2) your pass rush is lacking; 3) combination of both of those things. I'm picking #3.
Get some help at right defensive tackle. Dalton is undersized at 6-1 and cannot creat enough of a force up the middle to force the opposing QB into a bad pass or throwing on the run under pressure. Claude Wroten, up until about two weeks ago would have been a perfec fit. At 6-3, quick and strong, he has now given reason for teams to take pause due to off-the-field problems. Still, it may be worth the gamble for this team who desperately needs to create up-front pressure.
With both Surtain and Warfield, the Chief's secondary, can use some help. Antonio Cromartie would be a tall, bruising corner that could create an instant impact in the secondary while gaining valuable advice from the aforementioned vets. His work in the combines must reassure the skeptics that he is over his injury. Adding him along with 6-2 safety Greg Wesley and 6-1 SS Sammy Knight, would give KC one of the tallest, most physical secondaries in the NFL. Whether that translates to better efficiency against the pass remains to be seen.
21. New England
1a. Michael Huff, CB/S, Texas or Ko Simpson, S, South Carolina
1b. Antonio Cromartie, CB, FSU
1c. Maurice Stovall/ WR/ Notre Dame
Synopsis: DO NOT, even for a moment, discount the Charlie Weiss/Bill Belicheck/Tom Brady connection in this and future drafts. Yes, their secondary will need some retooling in this draft. However, Maurice Stovall may be just too big a pick (literally and figuratively) to pass up if the Chargers or Chiefs fail to pick him up. Familiarity with a Patriot-type offense, slimmed down and faster than in previous seasons, this would be a potent weapon to add to the offensive side of the ball. And Charlie Weiss will have given the full scoop to his former boss and his NFL
passing protege.
That said, the Pats could really use that secondary help previously mentioned. There are several prospects that could add to the luster of one of the tougher, hard-hitting defenses in the league. Look for New England to add at least one such player to their secondary whether it is in the first round or not. Cromartie added to Rodney Harrison's secondary ( and it IS Harrison's secondary) would be bada - - , to say the least. The knee injury might keep Cromartie out of the 1st round, but the Pats might take a chance. But look for the Pats to go WR if Stovall is there, allowing the offense a better opportunity for keeping the defense off the field, or at least, playing with the lead.
22. Denver (Wash.)
1a. Manny Lawson, DE, N.C. State / Kamerion Wimbley, DE, FSU
1b. Nick Mangold, C, Ohio State
1c. Nate Salley, S, Ohio State
Synopsis: What happened to that tough Denver defense for their AFC Championship game? Was it just Pittsburgh being so dominant with second-year QB Ben Rothlisberger, or did the Broncos succumb to the higher-elevation after being on the field too long? Whatever it was, it certainly wasn't the Bronco defense that we saw thumping New England. The turnovers no doubt helped the Steelers dominate the game, but those were forced by the tenacious play by the Pittsburgh defense. It is really incredible that, like Indy, a one game per season meltdown has defined their season in recent years. So what to do.
Outside of taking a chance on a new QB to push Jake Plummer, the Broncos have a good foundation that can add more depth to a talented ballclub. There is a couple of avenues Denver could take this draft. One avenue is through the secondary, where they have adequate depth right now. However, John Lynch has been around for a long while and it might be time to consider that position. Sam Brandon looks to be the immediate heir, so they may decide to stay away from that area one more year.
Another avenue leads to wide receiver. Rod Martin isn't getting any younger either. Ashley Lelie piles up lots of yardage but little in the way of TD's. He had a single TD in '05. Todd Devoe and Darrius Watts might be good 3rd progression WR's, but can't duplicate the ability of Rod Martin, or Lelie for that matter. So why not another wideout to try and bolster the rather sparse depth in this area of the offense? They have 5 tightends, why not another WR?
It looks like that will be answered by bringing in the human timebomb, Terrell Owens. If the Broncs do pick up T.O., that will end the need to pick up a WR in this draft, unless Shanahan decides to humor himself in the later rounds.
If they add T.O. via FA, then the Broncos could snatch up Nick Mangold at the Center position to replace the aging Tom Nalen, or go with a banger at Defensive End.
23. Tampa Bay
1a. Eric Winston, OL, Miami
1b. Maurice Stovall, WR, Notre Dame
1c. Mathias Kiwanuka, DE, Boston College
Synopsis: In my opinion, the Bucs were a dominant, breakaway WR away from a Super Bowl berth this past season. With a tough defense and solid running game, only the passing attack could be improved on offense. And even that wasn't too bad. Where the heck did Mike Clayton go? Many were expecting a huge year for him and what we witnessed was an exceptional performance from 11 year vet Joey Galloway. So Clayton may have gotten a one-year reprieve. Maybe two, as this year's WR class isn't that impressive. Add a solid 3rd WR to the current crop, along with the potential from TE Alex Smith, and the Bucs have a pretty formidable offense. On paper.
If they don't opt to go with a WR, perhaps they try to pick up another offensive lineman to offer better protection of the QB and open some bigger holes for the Cadillac to pass through. The current starting offensive line (minus 8 year vet Wade) is still young and probably not quite at the point they need to be. Will that be resolved with another year status quo, or will someone like Eric Winston be picked up to help strengthen the line? They allowed 41 sacks of their QB in 2005, so there is room for improvement in that area.
Hard to believe Tampa Bay was 23rd overall defensively. Against the pass they were porous, finishing 25th in the league. But then again, Pittsburgh was 24th and look where they ended up. The Bucs were 14th vs the run and 20th in scoring. So perhaps there is an argument to be made that the secondary can use some fixin' up. Or maybe they need an increase in their ability to rush the passer. One or two key adds for the Bucs in this off-season can help them as a top contender for the Super Bowl.
24. Cincinnati
1a. Broderick Bunkley, DT, FSU
1b. Gabe Watson, DT, Michigan
1c. Mathias Kiwanuka, DE, Boston College
Synopsis: I absolutely cringed and felt a tug at my heart when Carson Palmer went down. He seems like a very classy guy and his capability at QB limitless. Plus, it's fun to see the Bengals back in the mix after a long, long, long absence. I truly hope he is back and not a smidgen off in his game. But even had Carson stayed in and played against the Steelers, one doubts whether their defense was up to the task.
The Bengal defense ended the 2005 season ranked 28th overall allowing over 338 yards per game. 26th vs the pass, 20th against the run and 22nd in scoring defense. That folks, will not get you to the Super Bowl. It is a wonder the orange and black made the playoffs! The Bengals defensive front generated a grand total of 14 sacks in 2005, 6 of them from Justin Smith. No wonder their secondary was being murdered. Since they weren't that effective stopping the run,
I'm going to take a leap of faith here and say they'll start at Defensive Tackle. Specifically, the left side. 9 year vet Bryan Robinson and his backup, Matthias Askew, combined for a total of 21 tackles in eleven games. That's got to be changed, and Askew is only a 2 year vet.
Left Defensive End would be my second target, as Justin Smith did well, but backup Carl Powell is probably better at 3rd on the depth chart. He added 13 tackles for the year in 11 games. By contrast, 6 of the DBacks had in range of 45 to 87 solo tackles. Yikes!
25. N.Y. Giants
1a. Antonio Cromartie, CB, FSU
1b. Ashton Youboty, CB, Ohio St
1c. Bobby Carpenter, LB, Ohio St. / Ernie Sims, OLB, FSU
Synopsis: With the secondary under fire for the poor performance in the playoff game against Carolina, look for the Giants to try and upgrade. Or do they forego a draft pick in the secondary and add Nate Clements vis free agency? The Giants first pick could be directed at linebacker as well. I'm not really enamored with Nick Greisen in the middle, so a move towards a bigger, faster talent at that position would be in order. Unfortunately for the Giants, I don't see a really top-notch pick at LB after pick #12 unless D'Qwell Jackson is still there. Maybe Bobby Carpenter or Ernie Sims will suffice, but it may have to wait until the 2nd round.
There are plenty of potential players to fit the system in the Giant secondary, starting with Antonio Cromartie. Though mainly a CB, he could be placed at SS to replace aging Brent Alexander, and then shuttle with one year player James Butler at safety, or the other one year DB, Corey Webster. This could make for one of the toughest secondaries in the NFL for years to come. Aside from the defense, there is some work to be done on offense. For my money, Plaxico Burress is not worth any. Especially not in playoff games. But with the limited available WR's in the draft, this move might have to wait awhile longer.
26. Chicago
1a. Rod Wright, DE, Texas / Gabe Watson, DE, Michigan
1b. Maurice Stovall, WR, Notre Dame
1c. Vernon Davis, TE, Maryland
Synopsis: They already have one of the toughest defensive units in the league, but what they lack is experience at QB and weapons at WR. Grossman will have a shot at gaining additional experience while opening up the passing side of the Bear offense. Muhsin helped in the latter category, but injuries and depth created problems in the vertical passing game. It also caused rookie Kyle Orton to look downright dreadful and fuel the Grossman bandwagon.
At least Chicago is one of the few teams set at the QB position with two capable, but not great, players. The Bears desperately need to add playmakers at both the wideout position and that of TE. So Vernon Davis is a solid choice, not to mention a big target, for this pick. However, if Maurice Stovall is still available at this point in the draft, bet on the Bears to take him.
Otherwise, it's probably going to be a big TE that can at least give the Bears the ability to move the ball with a short passing game. I like the potential Berrian and Bradley bring to the team in the 3rd WR position, so the Bears might get away with taking a smaller WR like Moss or Holmes. But in my opinion Lovie Smith and Chicago should be strictly offense with it's first pick of the '06 draft in order to create more options for the quarterback(s).
Or will they? Mark this down. If Manny Lawson or Rod Wright are anywhere near this pick, you just might see the Bears go defense in a year that has a TON of talent on the D-side.
27. Carolina - 1a. Eric Winston, OT, Miami(Fla.)
1b. Max Jean-Gilles, OG, Georgia
1c. Mercedes Lewis, TE, UCLA
Synopsis: Not sure who showed up in Seattle for the NFC Championship game, but it did resemble the Jeckle/Hyde Carolina Panthers of the '05 season. Of course, injuries at RB hurt them immensely, so there is plenty of ammunition still left on this talented team. It looks like a re-stocking of the offensive line may be in order. Mathis, Reyes and Fordham don't look to be the answer along the line, so it might do them good to add depth and potential with one of the many linemen coming out of college in this draft.
Look for combine results to sway the Panthers towards the offensive lineman they want to incorporate into their future. Winston is just plain huge, Jean-Gilles a shorter, heavier lineman. The Panthers could use some help at TE and a Mercedes Lewis or Vernon Davis could give help in the passing game. With injuries plaguing the RB's at Carolina, who's to say they don't take a shot at Joseph Addai? Help in the secondary and linebacker will also need attention, whether it's in the first round or not.
28. Jacksonville
1a. Laurence Maroney, RB, Minnesota
1b. Joseph Addai, RB, LSU
1c.Anthony Fasano, TE, Notre Dame
Synopsis: NFL fans, meet the ticking time bomb. Time bomb, NFL fans. This team is just perculating and ready to explode. All the parts are getting put in place. Defensively they gained valuble experience getting to the playoffs, and offensively they need but a small spark to ignite them further. That may come in the form of running back Edgerrin James from Indy if the Jags pick him up in FA. That would send Taylor packing and leave Jax with a very deep reserve running back pool.
If that happens, look for Jax to pick up Anthony Fansano at the TE slot, or add to an already capable defense by tapping Orien Harris. Personally, if they are able to acquire Edge, I'd look for them to add to an already stingy defense.
Should the Edge not make his way to Jacksonville, look for the Jags to pick Joseph Addai or Laurence Maroney. Either way, the Jags will look to add to their offense in order to keep offensive pace with the likes of Indy, New England and San Diego. Something they cannot do without a consistent, healthy running back and power tight end. With a healthy Leftwich and extremely adept backup QB in Garrad, the Jags are poised to make a run at Indy.
29. Denver
1a. Manny Lawson, DE, N.C. State
1b. Nick Mangold, C, Ohio State
1c. Nate Salley, S, Ohio State
Synopsis: The Broncos have quite the enviable position in the '06 draft. Two picks in a talent-laden first round. They could snatch up another DE or DT to bolster a pretty solid defense, or go for a safety if they don't pick one with the 22nd pick. And there is always the opportunity to pick up a quality Center in Nick Mangold. Look out for another solid season from Denver if they add T.O. , Manny Lawson and Nate Salley or Nick Mangold types. (Unless a T.O. acquisition causes this team to implode as well!)
30. Indianapolis
1a Trade down*
1a. Broderick Bunkley
1b. Thomas Howard, OLB, UTEP or D'Qwell Jackson, LB, Maryland
1c. Antonio Cromartie, CB, FSU or Marcus McNeil, OT, Auburn
* - If Colts keep Edge
Synopsis: The pick will be decided AFTER the drama with Edge is completed. Obviously. But until then, I'll go with two lines of thought. 1) Should the Colts release Edge and 2) Should the Colts keep Edge. By not keeping him, the need for a replacement RB is obvious and hugely important. Without a running game the Colts have nothing, which is why I feel Edge is more vital to the offense than Reggie Wayne.
Many say it's easier to get a talented RB than it is a Wr, and though this year's draft offers little in the way of dominating receivers, I still say Edge is the exception to this rule. No threat of a run equals pass-only options. Gee, wonder what the teams that were watching S.D. and Pittsburgh blitzing Indy will now do on defense when Indy has no running game?
That aside, if the Colts look for another RB, I doubt there is one with enough of James attributes to contribute immediately unless DeAngelo Williams or LenDale White fall a LOOOONG way down to the #30 spot. So do the Colts take a chance on a Joseph Addai or Laurence Maroney, assuming they'll still be available? If the Colts MUST part with Edge, I'd rather go towards a stronger defense and a later round (read: less expensive) running back/wide receiver combo and take my chances. However, if the Colts keep Edge (read: no money left at all) then look for Indy to trade down and try to collect as many potential "diamonds in the rough" as possible.
To summarize, without Edge, bolster the defense with a smash mouth linebacker. With Edge, trade down. Of course, this means I will be totally wrong and they'll take a running back with the #30 pick after Edge is long gone. But there is no doubt there must be an effort made to add at LB, the offensive line and some late round hopefuls at WR, even if Edge doesn't go anywhere and the Colts are able to keep Reggie Wayne.
31. Seattle
1a. Ko Simpson, S, South Carolina
1b. Ashton Youboty, CB, Ohio St.
1c. Winston Justice, OG, USC
Synopsis: They had the Super Bowl for their taking and lost it. Most notably a breakdown in the running game and dropped passes, but also a few plays defensively by the secondary that allowed the Steelers second and third chances. With Alexander and Strong probably coming back, the running game should be fine. But Seattle needs a serious threat at the WR position. Or at least someone to hold onto the ball. Bobby Engram has probably outlived his usefulness and Jerramy Stevens, though such a big target, leaves much to be desired.
But since the first round isn't a hotbed of WR's this year, look for Seattle to pick up a safety or corner with their first pick. The sleeper pick would be a defensive lineman they could mold into help at left defensive guard. But don't count out the Seahawks going for an offensive lineman. They love picking O-lineman in the 1st round.
32. Pittsburgh
1a. Jason Allen, S, Tennessee
1b. Darrell Hunter, CB, Miami (Fla.)
1c. Martin Nance, WR, Miami(Ohio)
Synopsis: The only thing missing all year for the Steeler's was their pass defense. Not their pass rush, but their pass defense. Specifically the secondary. Now, they came up big when they had to against Cincy and Indy, and Jake Plummer posed little threat. But two officials questionable flags gave them a reprieve in Super Bowl 40, so look for Pittsburgh to add to the secondary.
Unfortunately, the things missing AFTER this Super Bowl could be two very critical elements of the offense. One is a given, as the Bus retired at the end of Super Bowl 40. The other is Antwaan Randel-El, who will be sought after by the likes of the Redskins, Bears or Dolphins. Unless Bill Cowher wants an immediate replacement for the Bus by grabbing Lawrence Vickers or Garrett Mills, we should see the Black and Gold adding to their strengths on the defensive side.
That is not to say they won't snatch up a Nick Mangold, Fred Matua or Jon Scott if they're hanging around. Depending on the El situation, a pick of WR wouldn't be totally shocking. The running game will be likely be addressed in round 2, with RB Gerald Riggs of Tennessee or Brian Calhoun of Wisconsin.
1. Houston
1a. Trades down for additional picks
1b. Reggie Bush, RB, USC
1c. Will do one or the other above - or get crucified.
Synopsis: When I began putting this together at the end of the regular season, my initial hunch was that Houston would trade down the #1 pick for additional picks. Then came the announcement on January 8th/9th that they definitely wanted Bush. I was thinking, maybe this is a bluff. But it's certainly hard to pass up a chance to pick another "Gale Sayers", no? If it weren't for the $21 million contract to Domanick this would be a no brainer and the pick is Bush. They could still select Reggie for trade purposes, but I don't look for this Bush in Texas in 2006. There are just too many good, solid players in the draft this year NOT to trade down and fill NEEDS, not WISHES.
Maybe the cap-friendly Titans and Texans switch positions, and the Texans pick up an extra late round pick AND still get a quality player at the #3 spot? Plus, Houston can start addressing the other areas of their team by selecting from a robust draft, which happens to include a boatload of talented underclassmen who have decided to forego another collegiate football season. The Jets, Saints, Dolphins, Cardinals and Ravens (maybe ALL teams) have a vested interest in making a play for the #1 pick. Or, as I stated earlier, this "We want Bush" prounouncement is only a diversion.
Whatever takes place, this will be the most important organizational decision for the new staff. It may even be a referendum on the GM if this pick doesn't pan out positively. I believe Houston will deal the #1 pick for chances at a number of other selections later in the draft, including some O-lineman and a defensive end. For example, ORT Zach Wiegart is in his 11th year, and on their depth chart, there is NO ONE listed!! Therefore, look at the Texans using a potential trade down pick to shore up the right side of their offensive line with Jon Scott of Texas. Likewise, the Left Defensive End for Houston, Gary Walker, is also an elder statesman. Even though he has backup, there's always a diamond in the rough in these drafts. The other pick might be utilized on a new field goal kicker.
The Texan team has money and needs an offensive line to help protect David Carr, who was sacked about 11,000 times. They also need some receivers to help give Carr more options. If they pass on Bush and don't trade down ( suicide IMHO) Bradford is an 8 year veteran who can still play, but Gaffney,Armstrong and Mathis don't strike fear in the hearts of the opposing secondary. Maybe some could make the argument that Reggie Bush can return the punts instead of Mathis, be that extra option for Carr and take the pressure off of Davis. A big decision awaits. Note: Texans have drafted pretty much 50-50 in their drafts, with 16 of 35 picks going to the defense since 2002.
2. New Orleans
1a. Matt Leinert, QB, USC
1b. Vince Young, QB, Texas
1c. Reggie Bush, RB, USC
Synopsis: Time is up for Aaron Brooks. The Saints can use a strong arm and strong leader at the QB position. With depth at WR position, they need an efficient, consistent passer to get them the ball. The main trouble with this is the time needed for developing a rookie QB. Are the Saints willing to wait that long? Who is going to start if the rookie can't go? Bouman or McPherson? If Cutler gets the nod, it might be due to the fact he played so well at Vanderbilt with no real talent and has not tapped his full potential. Leinert still may get tapped, especially considering Tom Benson's desire to move out west where Leinert may feel more at home. Cutler has a chance, but it will most likely be Leinert.
3. Tennessee
1a. Vince Young, QB, Texas or Jay Cutler, QB, Vanderbilt
1b. Mario Williams, DE, NC State
1c. DeMeco Ryans, LB, Alabama
Synopsis: Not quite certain they would take an ILB for the third pick overall, but this is definitely an area they need to address. Ryans is a big stud and an extremely good tackler. Consistency and talent in the LB corps would help on defense, as the 'backer position has been lean outside of Bulluck.. The D-line is fairly deep, but with the way injuries pile up in the NFL, there's never enough talent and Mario Williams can be a force. The Titans could also use a burner at WR for McNair. While Drew Bennett remains the workhorse (but dropped from 11 to 4 TD receptions) Tyrone Calico has almost disappeared. He had ZERO touchdown catches the past 2 seasons, and just 204 yards receiving in 2 years.
Those two WR's are big and can wreak havoc on smaller secondarys, but not if the passes aren't coming. With McNair healthy and a young rookie battling, perhaps the competition will spark a resurgence. NOTE: Young has built a strong relationship between himself and McNair and would be a strong consideration at QB, but Cutler played at Vanderbilt and could be the surprise first choice.
4. NY Jets
1a. D'Brickshaw Ferguson, OT, Virginia
1b. Haloti Ngata, DT, Oregon
1c. Laurence Maloney, RB, Minnesota or DeAngelo Williams, RB, Memphis
Synopsis: The Jets have a chance to move up with a surprise trade from Houston, but if not, they'll most likely go with the big guy on the O-line. However, there ARE two schools of thought here. Offense or Defense first? The defense was 12th overall in the NFL, including #2 vs the pass. But they were horrible against the run. On the offensive side the Jets were, well, offensive.
Next to last in total offense, but with two key injuries at the skill positions in Pennington and later Curtis Martin. So, do you add to the linebacking corps with an A.J. Hawk to compliment Vilma, or do you go up front defensively with a Mario Williams or Haloti Ngata. Perhaps go into the secondary and strengthen that area with Jimmy Williams?
No doubt they can use the additional impact of one of these defensive players,and D'Brickashaw is such a monster, but could we see the Jets go on the "offensive", with a RB like Laurence Maroney, DeAngelo Williams or LenDale White to offset the possibility of losing Curtis Martin to retirement or injury? What about QB and Jay Cutler? Might they decide to trade down for more picks in the later rounds? Lots of options....including trading down.
5. Green Bay
1a. Mario Williams, DE, NC State
1b. Broderick Bunkley, DT, FSU
1c. A.J. Hawk, OLB, Ohio State
Synopsis: Look for the announcement soon. Brett Favre will retire. But even if he returned, the Pack has more troubling issues. They struggled on defense in '05 and the fact the offense suffered so many injuries only underscored how the D couldn't make any key stops. Jim Bates could use a Reggie White type player to help with pressure on the opposing quarterback. Some say A.J. Hawk is a good choice for Green Bay, but I'd rather fo up front with this pick. Or they could add CB Jimmy Williams to battle/replace Ahmad Carroll ( move Carroll around more and use for depth) provided Williams can step right in. His size will certainly help match up against some of the taller WR's around the league. Should see a a defensive pick with Green Bay.
6. Oakland
1a. Haloti Ngata, DT, Oregon
1b. Mario Williams, DE, NC State
1c. Jimmy Williams, CB, Va Tech
Synopsis: Folks in silver & black are screaming for help for this "middle of the NFL pack" defensive squad. Ted Washington just completed his 14th season and may need to retire or become a backup. Same for DE Bobby Hamiltion at age 35. 2nd year DE Tommy Kelly is starting to get comfortable and Derrick Burgess had 16 sacks. The linebacking corps could also stand some help.
On offense the situation at QB is blurry. Tuiasasopo isn't the answer and Collins may not get another shot.! They could use some additional help at RB but not before they add to their defense. Look for Al Davis and Art Shell to concentrate on shoring up the D-line, adding depth at linebacker. It would be rather surprising for them to take an offensive player (like Jay Culter) but please Al, whatever you do, don't waste a pick on Marcus Vick !
7. San Francisco
1a. Haloti Ngata, DT, Oregon or Manny Lawson, DE, N.C. State
1b. Rodrique Wright, DT, Texas
1c. Chad Greenway, OLB, Iowa
Synopsis: They NEED to land a strong DE / DT to bolster their pass rush, but also need help in the secondary. If you look at the league statistics, SF is a tale of two defenses. They're ranked dead last in total defense, but they finished 18th versus the run. The secondary? Dead last. D-line might need to add a player or two as Bryant Young is going into his 13th year but still had 8 sacks. Believe an add at DE will help him stick around for a couple more years, but it's best to start the transition now and utilize his tutoring.
There is also a possibility that the 9ers move from their base 3-4 defense to a 4-3 and therefore might look to pick up a pass rusher with the first pick. For Mike Singletary and the LB'ers it is mostly a veteran group of no-names. Nine-year man Derek Smith (RILB) had 90 tackles and 26 assists, while 4 year man Brandon Moore had 50+ tackles and 5 sacks. Who? Exactly. Perhaps we will see Hawk or a top CB at this point, or some later round additions to the LB unit. The secondary is definitely in need of help, but might benefit from the additon of increased pressure on the passer and a solid linebacker.
However, looking at the 49ers a couple of things struck me about their offensive roster. 1) All of their receivers (except Johnnie Morton) are young and small. 6-0 or under, two rookies and two 3 year vets. I feel they need a game-changer to hlep open up the field. Brandon Lloyd and Arnez Battle have done very well, but a tall burner would make San Francisco more potent. That would also help open up the running game for Barlow and Gore. Unfortunately, it looks like getting that type of WR with the 6th pick would be a certain "reach" for any team this year. 2) The Niners have to have the youngest offensive line in the NFL.
No less than 4 rookies, a couple of 2 year guys, Kwame Harris in his 3rd year, while it is the 4th year for center Eric Heitmann. Wow. Should they gel and get better each game, that's a group of big uglies no one will want to contend with. San Fran will most likely go defense with this pick, but don't be entirely stunned if the 49ers go for an offensive athlete and pick up a receiver.
8. Buffalo
1a. Haloti Ngata, DT, Oregon / Rodrique Wright, DT, Texas
1b. Mario Williams, DE, NC State / Manny Lawson, DE, N.C. State
1c. Tamba Nali, DE, Penn State
Synopsis: The Bills defense gets immediate strength in the middle against the run. Ngata is a behemoth of a man and smart. Adept at sniffing out play action, his only potential downside is the knee injury of two years ago. Might that scare off teams until later rounds? Buffalo hopes so. This guy is definitely a instant-impact for any defense, but still not sure why the Bills gave away Pat Williams to the Vikings.
At any rate, if not Ngata, there is also Kiwanuka who will still be around, along with the outside possibility of Mario Williams or Manny Lawson. Improving the Bills offensive line and secondary are also on the priority list, but a tough D-lineman seems to be the hottest.
In later rounds the Bills could begin to address their aging secondary, unless the urge to pluck Michael Huff or Jimmy Williams proves to great a temptation. I just think it would be more beneficial to add up front with this first pick, and try to get some help in the later rounds. Besides, they need to re-sign Nate Clements, who many think may be a target of the Giants.
9. Detroit
1a. Duece Lutui, OT, USC
1b. Chad Greenway or Abdul Hodge, LB's, Iowa
1c. Jay Cutler, QB, Vanderbilt
Synopsis: I betcha dollars to doughnuts it won't be a WR drafted #1 this year in Detroit! With Martz finally on board as the offensive coordinator,, they could look to help bolster pass protection and add a better run-blocking talent to their O-line. Lutui is capable of doing both, but might the Lions be looking at another skill position player? After years of going for WR's, the O-line pick is one sure way of solidifying the offense and is a great add to the offensive line.
Though an offensive lineman going this high isn't entirely unusual, 2005 may have set the precedent. The 13th and 19th pick in first round of 2005 draft saw offensive lineman tabbed by the Saints and Rams respectively. The Cards might be the first this year. With so many areas to fill, including QB, I wouldn't be surprised at any pick in the 1st, except receiver!
10. Arizona
1a. DeAngelo Williams, RB, Memphis or LenDale White, RB, USC
1b Max Jean-Gilles, OG/OT, Georgia
1c. Jimmy Williams, CB, Virginia Tech
Synopsis: 'Zona is a hard team to figure. The Cards have a potent passing offense but lack the necessary running game. Whether it was ineffective line play ( that offensive line is big and veterans mostly at the 5-6 year mark) or less-than-expected results from the backs, this was truly the achilles heel of the 2005 season. So does Coach Green go for an additional running back, offensive lineman or add to the defense with his first pick? Or does he trade down to add more depth throughout?
With Warner re-signed it looks as if the QB slot is not an issue. RB DeAngelo Williams is tempting to a team that saw little production from their running backs. 5 year veteran Marcel Shipp was injured for a time and ended up with 451 yards total rushing and no TD's. Rookie RB J.J. Arrington's biggest rushing game was for 59 yards against the 49ers in week 13.
Big Jean-Gilles can play Tackle, but played mostly at Guard for the Bulldogs. With CB Williams, the Cards are assured of a secondary player with great size and speed (rare in the NFL). What's more, Williams played safety before but can be a powerful corner against the taller, speedier receivers. Imagine a taller, stronger DeAngelo Hall.
11. St. Louis
1a. Chad Greenway, LB, Iowa
1b. Michael Huff, S, Texas
1c. Rodrique Wright, DT, Texas / Claude Wroten, DT, LSU
Synopsis: For the Rams, no doubt they have some shoring up to do on defense. While their cornerbacks are suspect at times, they may just need another year to begin making that step to the next level. Three rookies comprised the corner unit, along with veterans Archuleta, Groce, Furrey and Ivy. Those "vets" have 5, 3, 3 and 4 years experience respectively. So that area may be, quantitatively, at adequate strength.
Qualitatively, a Michael Huff could provide an instant spark. Many judge that it will be a LB, CB or Safety pick for the Rams at this position. So a Greenway/Hawk/Hodge-type in the linebacking corps might be the pick. And there is a need for some additional help on the defensive line, specifically Tackle, so look for Wroten or another DT to possibly be there on draft day, but probably not in round one.
12. Cleveland
1a. A.J. Hawk, OLB, Ohio St. / DeMeco Ryans, OLB, Alabama
1b. Gabe Watson, DT, Michigan
1c. DeAngelo Williams, RB, Memphis
Synopsis: Romeo Crennel is making strides in Cleveland. And he's sticking up for his own people. The Browns fired President John Collins after Collins was pushing to get rid of GM Rich Savage. Owner Randy Lerner decided to go with Crennel's advice to keep Savage. Collins packed his bags. With that, the Browns now face another dilema. Which side of the ball to focus on first. My inclination is towards the defensive side because of Coach Crennel's penchant for putting together a solid D.
They might be a good nose tackle and linebacker away from turning the defense into a full-spectrum animal. But they need some help on the offensive line as well. Cleveland was the #4 defense against the pass in 2005. Against the run they were third from the bottom. So the obvious choice is to shore up the run defense, but at what cost?
The Browns may opt to trade down or go ahead and pick a potential stud at the nose, inside and outside linbacker positions. The focus on the defense may be justified and addressed, but do not be surprised if Crennel opts to go for RB Williams (if he's still there) to help an already talented and potentially high-powered offense.
13. Baltimore
1a. Michael Huff, S, Texas
1b. Winston Justice, OT, USC
1c. Marcus McNeil, OT, Auburn
Synopsis: The Raven faithful are up in arms over keeping Boller or dumping him for a new QB. Money says he'll stay one more year. If still hanging around, the Ravens might even take a shot at Jay Culter. Most think that the offensive line and defense will get most of the attention. After Jamal Lewis had a rather bleak year, the Ravens will now be forced to franchise tag him or let him walk. If he walks, they might go for DeAngelo Williams or LenDale White.
Baltimore was 21st in rushing offense, and with a young, struggling QB, that doesn't bode well for ball control and helping the maturation process of a young QB. So the Ravens taking QB Cutler or RB Williams (if they fall that far) wouldn't be a complete shock. Later rounds will see the voids filled at offensive line and defensive secondary support for Ed Reed and replacement for Deion Sanders. If not a skill position pick, look for the Ravens to go with Safety Mike Huff or to the offensive line. Hard not to take a Marcus McNeil staring you in the face at #13.
14. Philadelphia
1a .Chad Greenway, LB, Iowa / Tamba Hali, DE, Penn St.
1b. Tye Hill, CB, Clemson
1c. Santonio Holmes, WR, Ohio State
Synopsis: The Eagles have a whole bunch of messy baskets to tidy up this off-season. Maybe too many to make a difference in the coming year. Brad Childress is now in Minnesota, T.O. is a bitter memory and Donovan McNabb must overcome his injury while hoping to find new offensive weapons. Not to mention he has to reassert his leadership role in light of the Hugh Douglas comments. The Eagles were near the very bottom (28th) in rushing yardage. Don't expect that to change. The failure of the run didn't hurt them as much when they had T.O. to hit downfield. Reggie Brown is no T.O. (at least not yet) and so they need to find another WR to help McNabb extend and spread the defense.
Meantime, look for the new offensive coordinator and coach Andy Reid to institute a more balanced offensive attack. If that turns out to be the case, they may go RB with their first pick. The Eagle defense was 23rd overall in the NFL ( 21st vs run and the pass), and will have to bounce back after a tumultous season. While they still need to address the WR and RB/FB issues, they've lost many of the difference makers on defense over the past several years.
Andy Reid does need to focus on the linebacking and secondary positions, but it might come in the later rounds after trying to add a difference-maker on offense.
15. Atlanta
1a. Broderick Bunkley, DT, FSU
1b. Tamba Hali, DE, Penn St.
1c. Greg Blue, S, Georgia
Synopsis: 22nd overall in defense (26th vs the run, 14th vs the pass) The defense, so good a year before, disintegrated for the Falcons this past season. Time for Coach Mora to increase the potential of the defense and that starts with a banger. Look for a savage DE or hard-hitting LB for the first pick in Atlanta. While there is a chance the Falcons could go with local Georgia Bulldog safety Greg Blue, I would expect them to go first up front on the D-side. Otherwise, look for a LB selection. They are also in a favorable position should Mathias Kiwanuka slide down a little further than expected. Maybe the Falcons stun everyone and pick a wide receiver? Nah.
16. Miami
1a. Jay Cutler, QB, Vanderbilt
1b. Sinorice Moss, WR, Miami
1c. Broderick Bunkley, DT, FSU
Synopsis: Besides the obvious pick to acquire a potential starting QB, the Dolphins have folks who are on the edge of that retirement twilight. How much longer can Junior Seau and Sam Madison go on? So there's that question on the D-side. The offensive line is in pretty good shape with the "veteran" left side of the O-line still relatively young (McIntosh and James both 6 year vets), and from the Center position to the right, there is an average of 2 years experience.
My hunch is that they would be wasting a pick this early on to draft yet another young offensive lineman. (Unless they are trying to add depth.) So I would look for the pickup of Cutler (if available) or work to reinforce the aging defensive side of the ball. I don't think T.O. is in the Dolphin's future, so there is a need to think WR later in the draft. Marty Booker isn't much of a threat, and even though Chris Chambers continues to get better, he will fight constant double-coverage.
Whoever may be the QB will eventually need that additional threat at the wideout position. This Miami offense, should they add that threat, will now have serious weapons at every skill position. That is also why it is definitely a possibility that Nick Saban decides to stay with the QB's he has and add to other areas of his team with this first pick.
17. Minnesota
1a. Lawrence Maroney, RB, Minnesota
1b. DeAngelo Williams, RB, Memphis St.
1c. Broderick Bunkley, DT, FSU
Synopsis: Imagine the Minnesota Vikings with a constant, consistent running game to off-set their passing game. Wow. Potentially a 30-point-per-game machine. That's why I would not be at all stunned to see them take local college phenom Maroney, or the hit of the Senior Bowl ground attack, DeAngelo Williams. They may opt to add a little more depth to their defense, where they have the most of any team in the league.
They were middle of the pack in '05, 18th in total defense (19th vs Run, 22nd vs Pass, 20th vs Scoring) which isn't bad considering the rough start to the season on the offensive side of the ball. I'd be surprised with a defensive pick at #17, so look for best available running back, with follow-on picks at WR, LB and the secondary.
18. Dallas
1a. D'Qwell Jackson, LB, Maryland
1b. A.J. Hawk, LB, Ohio State
1c. Tye Hill, CB, Clemson
Synopsis: LB Dat Nyguen's retirement has added an element to the draft that Bill Parcell's wasn't counting on. I was thinking he'd be interested in trying to get someone in at the nosetackle position, or possibly bulk up along the offensive line. Then there's help needed in the secondary. While many love the speed of Tye Hill, I just think the guy is too small in this day and age. So while I'll put him down as a possibility, I'm wondering if anyone will touch him in round one. The Cowboys just brought in a relative unknows (except at Kent State and Notre Dame) in Abram Elam, a 6 foot , 205lb, 4.45 guy.
You might remember him as one of those rounded up in the alleged sexual assault of a woman at Notre Dame. He was on the ND team at the time, then sat out after his conviction. (He was convicted of inappropriately "touching" the victim - the only one to admit any wrongdoing. So it's a rather obvious statement by Jerry Jones that defense will be addressed.
With a large crop of top-notch backers in this draft, we should see Bobby Carpenter, Thomas Howard, D'Qwell Jackson or someone of that ilk with this selection. Unless Santonio Holmes or Sinorice Moss interest Parcells, look for a defensive first pick. Although a big offensive lineman isn't out of the question either. And there's always the chance that Jerry Jones pulls a surprise trade up for a shot at a marquee top 5 or top 10 talent.
19. San Diego
1a. Maurice Stovall, WR, Notre Dame
1b. Sinorice Moss, WR, Miami
1c. Safeties Michael Huff, Ko Simpson or Darnell Bing
Synopsis: San Diego has a serious problem at QB. Can Drew Brees come back strong after rehabilitation? Wait. Will Drew Brees BE in San Diego after rehabilitation? IF he is still a Bolt and is resigned, will he be able to hold off Phillip Rivers for another season? Wait. Will Rivers sit and be a backup for another season, or try and force a trade? Can he make an impact offensively like Brees?
I believe both QB's will be back (eveyrone needs two solid QB's in case of injury) and Brees is back for another year as the starter after his stellar rehab. Just like in the past two years, San Diego is explosive. But not as consistently explosive as they could be, especially at the wideout position. Scary thought, no? Imagine this team with a taller, consistent mid-to-long-range target for Brees to compliment the aging Keenan McCardell. In other words, the Chargers MUST pick Maurice Stovall.
To be certain, Maurice doesn't have lightning quick speed, but Moss and Holmes don't have the size and power that Stovall has, which will allow him to go up and get the ball. Something McCardell has been doing pretty well. Reche Caldwell is a good 3rd target, but the Bolts need that big threat at the main wideout to stretch defenses and make it less of an effort for Brees to move the team down the field. Not to mention being able to dump off to a more open LT out of the backfield. Whether this year's draft has such a receiver is questionable, especially in the first round. So I would say if it's not Stovall or Jackson (still a big reach at the #19 pick) they can be no worse than Eric Parker or Drew Haddad.
Some would argue that this pick would be better spent on more defensive depth. Randall Godfrey isn't getting any younger (or faster) and I'm not sold on Stephen Cooper as his long-term replacement. Adding Michale Huff to the safety position would give the Chargers more help in that area, as he can play safety or the corner position. However, the consistency of the offense hurt San Diego the most last year, and a deep threat may give them the additional weapon to get back to the playoffs.
20. Kansas City
1a. Claude Wroten, DT, LSU
1b. Antonio Cromartie, CB, FSU
1c. Broderick Bunkley, DT, FSU
Synopsis: Kansas City's defense was supposedly better than a year before. Well, it was 25th in total defense, 3rd from the bottom against the pass, 7th versus the run, 16th in scoring defense and 25th in forcing turnovers. So I'd say there is some room for improvement. I'd start with the secondary and the right defensive tackle slot. Either one. Being third from the bottom in passing defense means one of three things: 1) your secondary is weak; 2) your pass rush is lacking; 3) combination of both of those things. I'm picking #3.
Get some help at right defensive tackle. Dalton is undersized at 6-1 and cannot creat enough of a force up the middle to force the opposing QB into a bad pass or throwing on the run under pressure. Claude Wroten, up until about two weeks ago would have been a perfec fit. At 6-3, quick and strong, he has now given reason for teams to take pause due to off-the-field problems. Still, it may be worth the gamble for this team who desperately needs to create up-front pressure.
With both Surtain and Warfield, the Chief's secondary, can use some help. Antonio Cromartie would be a tall, bruising corner that could create an instant impact in the secondary while gaining valuable advice from the aforementioned vets. His work in the combines must reassure the skeptics that he is over his injury. Adding him along with 6-2 safety Greg Wesley and 6-1 SS Sammy Knight, would give KC one of the tallest, most physical secondaries in the NFL. Whether that translates to better efficiency against the pass remains to be seen.
21. New England
1a. Michael Huff, CB/S, Texas or Ko Simpson, S, South Carolina
1b. Antonio Cromartie, CB, FSU
1c. Maurice Stovall/ WR/ Notre Dame
Synopsis: DO NOT, even for a moment, discount the Charlie Weiss/Bill Belicheck/Tom Brady connection in this and future drafts. Yes, their secondary will need some retooling in this draft. However, Maurice Stovall may be just too big a pick (literally and figuratively) to pass up if the Chargers or Chiefs fail to pick him up. Familiarity with a Patriot-type offense, slimmed down and faster than in previous seasons, this would be a potent weapon to add to the offensive side of the ball. And Charlie Weiss will have given the full scoop to his former boss and his NFL
passing protege.
That said, the Pats could really use that secondary help previously mentioned. There are several prospects that could add to the luster of one of the tougher, hard-hitting defenses in the league. Look for New England to add at least one such player to their secondary whether it is in the first round or not. Cromartie added to Rodney Harrison's secondary ( and it IS Harrison's secondary) would be bada - - , to say the least. The knee injury might keep Cromartie out of the 1st round, but the Pats might take a chance. But look for the Pats to go WR if Stovall is there, allowing the offense a better opportunity for keeping the defense off the field, or at least, playing with the lead.
22. Denver (Wash.)
1a. Manny Lawson, DE, N.C. State / Kamerion Wimbley, DE, FSU
1b. Nick Mangold, C, Ohio State
1c. Nate Salley, S, Ohio State
Synopsis: What happened to that tough Denver defense for their AFC Championship game? Was it just Pittsburgh being so dominant with second-year QB Ben Rothlisberger, or did the Broncos succumb to the higher-elevation after being on the field too long? Whatever it was, it certainly wasn't the Bronco defense that we saw thumping New England. The turnovers no doubt helped the Steelers dominate the game, but those were forced by the tenacious play by the Pittsburgh defense. It is really incredible that, like Indy, a one game per season meltdown has defined their season in recent years. So what to do.
Outside of taking a chance on a new QB to push Jake Plummer, the Broncos have a good foundation that can add more depth to a talented ballclub. There is a couple of avenues Denver could take this draft. One avenue is through the secondary, where they have adequate depth right now. However, John Lynch has been around for a long while and it might be time to consider that position. Sam Brandon looks to be the immediate heir, so they may decide to stay away from that area one more year.
Another avenue leads to wide receiver. Rod Martin isn't getting any younger either. Ashley Lelie piles up lots of yardage but little in the way of TD's. He had a single TD in '05. Todd Devoe and Darrius Watts might be good 3rd progression WR's, but can't duplicate the ability of Rod Martin, or Lelie for that matter. So why not another wideout to try and bolster the rather sparse depth in this area of the offense? They have 5 tightends, why not another WR?
It looks like that will be answered by bringing in the human timebomb, Terrell Owens. If the Broncs do pick up T.O., that will end the need to pick up a WR in this draft, unless Shanahan decides to humor himself in the later rounds.
If they add T.O. via FA, then the Broncos could snatch up Nick Mangold at the Center position to replace the aging Tom Nalen, or go with a banger at Defensive End.
23. Tampa Bay
1a. Eric Winston, OL, Miami
1b. Maurice Stovall, WR, Notre Dame
1c. Mathias Kiwanuka, DE, Boston College
Synopsis: In my opinion, the Bucs were a dominant, breakaway WR away from a Super Bowl berth this past season. With a tough defense and solid running game, only the passing attack could be improved on offense. And even that wasn't too bad. Where the heck did Mike Clayton go? Many were expecting a huge year for him and what we witnessed was an exceptional performance from 11 year vet Joey Galloway. So Clayton may have gotten a one-year reprieve. Maybe two, as this year's WR class isn't that impressive. Add a solid 3rd WR to the current crop, along with the potential from TE Alex Smith, and the Bucs have a pretty formidable offense. On paper.
If they don't opt to go with a WR, perhaps they try to pick up another offensive lineman to offer better protection of the QB and open some bigger holes for the Cadillac to pass through. The current starting offensive line (minus 8 year vet Wade) is still young and probably not quite at the point they need to be. Will that be resolved with another year status quo, or will someone like Eric Winston be picked up to help strengthen the line? They allowed 41 sacks of their QB in 2005, so there is room for improvement in that area.
Hard to believe Tampa Bay was 23rd overall defensively. Against the pass they were porous, finishing 25th in the league. But then again, Pittsburgh was 24th and look where they ended up. The Bucs were 14th vs the run and 20th in scoring. So perhaps there is an argument to be made that the secondary can use some fixin' up. Or maybe they need an increase in their ability to rush the passer. One or two key adds for the Bucs in this off-season can help them as a top contender for the Super Bowl.
24. Cincinnati
1a. Broderick Bunkley, DT, FSU
1b. Gabe Watson, DT, Michigan
1c. Mathias Kiwanuka, DE, Boston College
Synopsis: I absolutely cringed and felt a tug at my heart when Carson Palmer went down. He seems like a very classy guy and his capability at QB limitless. Plus, it's fun to see the Bengals back in the mix after a long, long, long absence. I truly hope he is back and not a smidgen off in his game. But even had Carson stayed in and played against the Steelers, one doubts whether their defense was up to the task.
The Bengal defense ended the 2005 season ranked 28th overall allowing over 338 yards per game. 26th vs the pass, 20th against the run and 22nd in scoring defense. That folks, will not get you to the Super Bowl. It is a wonder the orange and black made the playoffs! The Bengals defensive front generated a grand total of 14 sacks in 2005, 6 of them from Justin Smith. No wonder their secondary was being murdered. Since they weren't that effective stopping the run,
I'm going to take a leap of faith here and say they'll start at Defensive Tackle. Specifically, the left side. 9 year vet Bryan Robinson and his backup, Matthias Askew, combined for a total of 21 tackles in eleven games. That's got to be changed, and Askew is only a 2 year vet.
Left Defensive End would be my second target, as Justin Smith did well, but backup Carl Powell is probably better at 3rd on the depth chart. He added 13 tackles for the year in 11 games. By contrast, 6 of the DBacks had in range of 45 to 87 solo tackles. Yikes!
25. N.Y. Giants
1a. Antonio Cromartie, CB, FSU
1b. Ashton Youboty, CB, Ohio St
1c. Bobby Carpenter, LB, Ohio St. / Ernie Sims, OLB, FSU
Synopsis: With the secondary under fire for the poor performance in the playoff game against Carolina, look for the Giants to try and upgrade. Or do they forego a draft pick in the secondary and add Nate Clements vis free agency? The Giants first pick could be directed at linebacker as well. I'm not really enamored with Nick Greisen in the middle, so a move towards a bigger, faster talent at that position would be in order. Unfortunately for the Giants, I don't see a really top-notch pick at LB after pick #12 unless D'Qwell Jackson is still there. Maybe Bobby Carpenter or Ernie Sims will suffice, but it may have to wait until the 2nd round.
There are plenty of potential players to fit the system in the Giant secondary, starting with Antonio Cromartie. Though mainly a CB, he could be placed at SS to replace aging Brent Alexander, and then shuttle with one year player James Butler at safety, or the other one year DB, Corey Webster. This could make for one of the toughest secondaries in the NFL for years to come. Aside from the defense, there is some work to be done on offense. For my money, Plaxico Burress is not worth any. Especially not in playoff games. But with the limited available WR's in the draft, this move might have to wait awhile longer.
26. Chicago
1a. Rod Wright, DE, Texas / Gabe Watson, DE, Michigan
1b. Maurice Stovall, WR, Notre Dame
1c. Vernon Davis, TE, Maryland
Synopsis: They already have one of the toughest defensive units in the league, but what they lack is experience at QB and weapons at WR. Grossman will have a shot at gaining additional experience while opening up the passing side of the Bear offense. Muhsin helped in the latter category, but injuries and depth created problems in the vertical passing game. It also caused rookie Kyle Orton to look downright dreadful and fuel the Grossman bandwagon.
At least Chicago is one of the few teams set at the QB position with two capable, but not great, players. The Bears desperately need to add playmakers at both the wideout position and that of TE. So Vernon Davis is a solid choice, not to mention a big target, for this pick. However, if Maurice Stovall is still available at this point in the draft, bet on the Bears to take him.
Otherwise, it's probably going to be a big TE that can at least give the Bears the ability to move the ball with a short passing game. I like the potential Berrian and Bradley bring to the team in the 3rd WR position, so the Bears might get away with taking a smaller WR like Moss or Holmes. But in my opinion Lovie Smith and Chicago should be strictly offense with it's first pick of the '06 draft in order to create more options for the quarterback(s).
Or will they? Mark this down. If Manny Lawson or Rod Wright are anywhere near this pick, you just might see the Bears go defense in a year that has a TON of talent on the D-side.
27. Carolina - 1a. Eric Winston, OT, Miami(Fla.)
1b. Max Jean-Gilles, OG, Georgia
1c. Mercedes Lewis, TE, UCLA
Synopsis: Not sure who showed up in Seattle for the NFC Championship game, but it did resemble the Jeckle/Hyde Carolina Panthers of the '05 season. Of course, injuries at RB hurt them immensely, so there is plenty of ammunition still left on this talented team. It looks like a re-stocking of the offensive line may be in order. Mathis, Reyes and Fordham don't look to be the answer along the line, so it might do them good to add depth and potential with one of the many linemen coming out of college in this draft.
Look for combine results to sway the Panthers towards the offensive lineman they want to incorporate into their future. Winston is just plain huge, Jean-Gilles a shorter, heavier lineman. The Panthers could use some help at TE and a Mercedes Lewis or Vernon Davis could give help in the passing game. With injuries plaguing the RB's at Carolina, who's to say they don't take a shot at Joseph Addai? Help in the secondary and linebacker will also need attention, whether it's in the first round or not.
28. Jacksonville
1a. Laurence Maroney, RB, Minnesota
1b. Joseph Addai, RB, LSU
1c.Anthony Fasano, TE, Notre Dame
Synopsis: NFL fans, meet the ticking time bomb. Time bomb, NFL fans. This team is just perculating and ready to explode. All the parts are getting put in place. Defensively they gained valuble experience getting to the playoffs, and offensively they need but a small spark to ignite them further. That may come in the form of running back Edgerrin James from Indy if the Jags pick him up in FA. That would send Taylor packing and leave Jax with a very deep reserve running back pool.
If that happens, look for Jax to pick up Anthony Fansano at the TE slot, or add to an already capable defense by tapping Orien Harris. Personally, if they are able to acquire Edge, I'd look for them to add to an already stingy defense.
Should the Edge not make his way to Jacksonville, look for the Jags to pick Joseph Addai or Laurence Maroney. Either way, the Jags will look to add to their offense in order to keep offensive pace with the likes of Indy, New England and San Diego. Something they cannot do without a consistent, healthy running back and power tight end. With a healthy Leftwich and extremely adept backup QB in Garrad, the Jags are poised to make a run at Indy.
29. Denver
1a. Manny Lawson, DE, N.C. State
1b. Nick Mangold, C, Ohio State
1c. Nate Salley, S, Ohio State
Synopsis: The Broncos have quite the enviable position in the '06 draft. Two picks in a talent-laden first round. They could snatch up another DE or DT to bolster a pretty solid defense, or go for a safety if they don't pick one with the 22nd pick. And there is always the opportunity to pick up a quality Center in Nick Mangold. Look out for another solid season from Denver if they add T.O. , Manny Lawson and Nate Salley or Nick Mangold types. (Unless a T.O. acquisition causes this team to implode as well!)
30. Indianapolis
1a Trade down*
1a. Broderick Bunkley
1b. Thomas Howard, OLB, UTEP or D'Qwell Jackson, LB, Maryland
1c. Antonio Cromartie, CB, FSU or Marcus McNeil, OT, Auburn
* - If Colts keep Edge
Synopsis: The pick will be decided AFTER the drama with Edge is completed. Obviously. But until then, I'll go with two lines of thought. 1) Should the Colts release Edge and 2) Should the Colts keep Edge. By not keeping him, the need for a replacement RB is obvious and hugely important. Without a running game the Colts have nothing, which is why I feel Edge is more vital to the offense than Reggie Wayne.
Many say it's easier to get a talented RB than it is a Wr, and though this year's draft offers little in the way of dominating receivers, I still say Edge is the exception to this rule. No threat of a run equals pass-only options. Gee, wonder what the teams that were watching S.D. and Pittsburgh blitzing Indy will now do on defense when Indy has no running game?
That aside, if the Colts look for another RB, I doubt there is one with enough of James attributes to contribute immediately unless DeAngelo Williams or LenDale White fall a LOOOONG way down to the #30 spot. So do the Colts take a chance on a Joseph Addai or Laurence Maroney, assuming they'll still be available? If the Colts MUST part with Edge, I'd rather go towards a stronger defense and a later round (read: less expensive) running back/wide receiver combo and take my chances. However, if the Colts keep Edge (read: no money left at all) then look for Indy to trade down and try to collect as many potential "diamonds in the rough" as possible.
To summarize, without Edge, bolster the defense with a smash mouth linebacker. With Edge, trade down. Of course, this means I will be totally wrong and they'll take a running back with the #30 pick after Edge is long gone. But there is no doubt there must be an effort made to add at LB, the offensive line and some late round hopefuls at WR, even if Edge doesn't go anywhere and the Colts are able to keep Reggie Wayne.
31. Seattle
1a. Ko Simpson, S, South Carolina
1b. Ashton Youboty, CB, Ohio St.
1c. Winston Justice, OG, USC
Synopsis: They had the Super Bowl for their taking and lost it. Most notably a breakdown in the running game and dropped passes, but also a few plays defensively by the secondary that allowed the Steelers second and third chances. With Alexander and Strong probably coming back, the running game should be fine. But Seattle needs a serious threat at the WR position. Or at least someone to hold onto the ball. Bobby Engram has probably outlived his usefulness and Jerramy Stevens, though such a big target, leaves much to be desired.
But since the first round isn't a hotbed of WR's this year, look for Seattle to pick up a safety or corner with their first pick. The sleeper pick would be a defensive lineman they could mold into help at left defensive guard. But don't count out the Seahawks going for an offensive lineman. They love picking O-lineman in the 1st round.
32. Pittsburgh
1a. Jason Allen, S, Tennessee
1b. Darrell Hunter, CB, Miami (Fla.)
1c. Martin Nance, WR, Miami(Ohio)
Synopsis: The only thing missing all year for the Steeler's was their pass defense. Not their pass rush, but their pass defense. Specifically the secondary. Now, they came up big when they had to against Cincy and Indy, and Jake Plummer posed little threat. But two officials questionable flags gave them a reprieve in Super Bowl 40, so look for Pittsburgh to add to the secondary.
Unfortunately, the things missing AFTER this Super Bowl could be two very critical elements of the offense. One is a given, as the Bus retired at the end of Super Bowl 40. The other is Antwaan Randel-El, who will be sought after by the likes of the Redskins, Bears or Dolphins. Unless Bill Cowher wants an immediate replacement for the Bus by grabbing Lawrence Vickers or Garrett Mills, we should see the Black and Gold adding to their strengths on the defensive side.
That is not to say they won't snatch up a Nick Mangold, Fred Matua or Jon Scott if they're hanging around. Depending on the El situation, a pick of WR wouldn't be totally shocking. The running game will be likely be addressed in round 2, with RB Gerald Riggs of Tennessee or Brian Calhoun of Wisconsin.